Houston Astros vs Minnesota Twins Prediction, 7/5/2024 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

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Game: Houston Astros vs. Minnesota TwinsGame: Houston Astros vs. Minnesota Twins Date: Friday, July 5, 2024 Place: Target Field in Minneapolis, MN TV: Bally Sport North The Houston Astros (44-42) travel to Target Field on Friday to face the Minnesota Twins (48-38). The pitchers taking the mound are Shawn Dubin and Pablo Lopez. Houston Astros * Batting average: .264 * Runs scored: 406 * Home runs: 101 * ERA: 4.01 * Strikeouts: 734 Minnesota Twins * Batting average: .248 * Runs scored: 411 * Home runs: 102 * ERA: 4.13 * Strikeouts: 778 Tony Sink’s Pick: Minnesota

Game: Houston Astros vs. Minnesota Twins

Date: Friday, July 5, 2024

Place: Target Field in Minneapolis, MN

TV: Bally Sport North

The Houston Astros (44-42) travel to Target Field on Friday to face the Minnesota Twins (48-38). The pitchers taking the mound are Shawn Dubin and Pablo Lopez.

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Houston has a .423 batting average and has been thrown out on strikes 588 times, while allowing 241 walks. They have batted in 389 runs and earned 780 base knocks on the season, while maintaining a team batting average of .264. The Astros have totaled 148 two-baggers and knocked out 101 baseballs. They have scored a total of 406 runs with a team OBP of .323. As a unit, the Houston Astros are allowing 4.7 runs per game, which is 10th in baseball.

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The Astros have a 4.01 ERA on the campaign (16th in MLB) and have struck out 734 batters. Astros pitchers have allowed 98 home runs and 365 total runs (12th in baseball). They have walked 317 opponents and their FIP stands at 4.31 as a team so far this season. Houston has allowed 670 hits (7.9 per 9 innings) and 340 earned runs. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 2.32 and the pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.29.

The Astros have sent 273 relief pitchers to the mound so far this year. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 67 base runners so far this season, with 26.9 percent of those players earning a run for their team. They have collected 18 saves over the course of the season, blowing 14 of 32 save opportunities. The Astros relievers have a save percentage of 56.3 percent, stepping onto the mound in 78 save situations. The relievers have earned 46 holds over the course of the season (14th in the league). Astros pitchers have entered the game with runners on 47 times, making 77 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Houston Astros have 2,290 putouts, 729 assists and 38 errors so far. Their fielding percentage holds steady at .988, which ranks 3rd in the majors, and they have earned 66 double plays. The Astros have converted 71.0% of balls hit into play over their 6,870 innings in the field, which ranks 8th in the majors.

Dubin (1-1 career mark) has a 5.44 FIP while facing 157 opponents during his time in the majors. He has allowed 38 hits (10.0 hits per nine innings) and has 17 walks. His earned run average is 5.53 (21 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.608. Dubin has thrown 34 innings and has struck out 38 batters during his MLB career.

Minnesota has hit 102 home runs on the season and has 391 RBIs. They have 170 doubles while drawing 250 free bases and scoring 411 runs. The Minnesota Twins have an on-base percentage of .318 to go along with a team batting average of .248 so far this season. The Twins have a team SLG% of .423 and are averaging 4.78 runs per game (9th in the league). They have been caught 685 times (21st in baseball) and have allowed 722 base hits.

The Twins have a team WHIP of 1.184 and a 3.92 FIP as a staff so far this year. They have earned a K/BB ratio of 9.20 (778 strikeouts against 219 bases on balls). They rank 13th in baseball as a pitching staff in total hits given up with 683. They have allowed 106 homers and are giving up 4.43 runs per 9 innings (15th in MLB). Minnesota’s pitching staff has allowed 375 runs on the season and comes in with a team ERA of 4.13 (350 earned runs allowed).

Minnesota relievers have an inherited scoring percentage of 45.8% from their 96 inherited baserunners. Their relief pitchers have stepped to the mound 95 times in high-leverage situations, in addition to 65 times with baserunners. In 94 save situations, the Twins have 55 holds and also have blown 12 saves. They currently rank 9th in the league with a save percentage of 68.4%, and they have sent 273 bullpen pitchers to the mound on the season. Minnesota has had relief pitchers step to the mound in 38 save opportunities and have tallied 26 saves.

In 6,861 innings played, the Twins have a defensive efficiency rating of 70.6% (ranked 10th in professional baseball). The Minnesota Twins have committed 41 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .987 (ranked 6th in baseball). The Twins have 654 assists, 38 errors, and a total of 2,287 putouts over the course of the season.

Lopez (47-45 career mark) has a 3.98 earned run average while giving up 8.2 hits per 9 innings. His strikeout to walk ratio is 3.97 and he has faced 3,300 opponents in his professional baseball career. He has allowed 353 ERs while sporting a WHIP of 1.174 and a FIP of 3.9. For his career, Lopez has allowed 727 hits while collecting 833 punch outs in 798 innings pitched.

Who will win tonight’s MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink’s Pick: Pick Minnesota

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